Murata vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
5 - 1
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 0
FOL
17%
24%
60%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 0
MUR
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 3
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
19%
23%
59%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 3
DOM
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
LIB
25%
27%
49%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TFI
2 - 0
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |