Murata vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
14º
8º
31
6º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 0
MUR
81%
14%
5%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 2
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 1
SGI
48%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 3
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 3
COS
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SGI
2 - 3
FOL
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 0
FAE
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 0
VIR
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 0
FOL
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |