Murata vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
DOM
1 - 2
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 4
LIB
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TFI
5 - 1
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 0
FIO
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 1
TPE
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TPE
1 - 0
FOL
63%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
TFI
1 - 0
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
TPE
24%
22%
54%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |