Murata vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 1
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 2
MUR
62%
18%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 8
VIR
14%
19%
67%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOL
4 - 0
MUR
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAI
3 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
UEE
45%
24%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
UEE
2 - 1
FOL
44%
24%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 1
TFI
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
TPE
0 - 0
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |