Murata vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
MUR
27%
23%
51%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 3
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 1
MUR
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TPE
4 - 3
MUR
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 4
SGI
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
VIR
60%
22%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TPE
2 - 0
FOL
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
FOL
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COS
1 - 2
FOL
16%
24%
60%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |