Murata vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
1 - 3
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 5
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
MUR
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 4
FOL
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 2
FOL
36%
25%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |