Murata vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
SGI
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 1
MUR
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
LIB
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 0
MUR
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
33%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 0
JUV
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
FIO
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
FAE
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 3
FIO
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
7 - 0
CAI
82%
14%
4%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |