Murata vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 4
TPE
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
MUR
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 3
FIO
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 0
LIB
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
5 - 0
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 0
FIO
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
5 - 0
CAI
66%
20%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |