Murata vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 2
FOL
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 2
MUR
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 1
VIR
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
COS
0 - 1
MUR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 0
FIO
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
COS
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 2
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 1
FAE
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DOM
0 - 2
FIO
9%
18%
73%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |