Murata vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 3
MUR
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 1
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 3
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
COS
2 - 0
MUR
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 2
TPE
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FAE
4 - 3
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
55%
23%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 3
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 0
TFI
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |