Murata vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 7
MUR
17%
22%
61%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
COS
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIR
19%
25%
56%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 4
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 3
FAE
73%
16%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
DOM
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
FIO
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 3
LIB
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |