Murata vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 3
COS
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
MUR
39%
25%
37%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
FAE
2 - 4
MUR
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
FAE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 2
FIO
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 0
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 3
TPE
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
3 - 1
TFI
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |