Coppa Titano Last 16
Global 5-3
Murata vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
56.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FOL
4 - 1
MUR
61%
24%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 4
TPE
9%
18%
72%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FAE
3 - 1
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 2
MUR
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SGI
0 - 2
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 5
FAE
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FAE
3 - 1
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 3
FOL
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
COS
4 - 0
FAE
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FAE
1 - 3
LIB
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |