Murata vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
MUR
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
FIO
14%
21%
66%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TPE
2 - 1
MUR
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MUR
3 - 4
FIO
13%
17%
70%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 2
FAE
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FAE
2 - 2
DOM
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FAE
1 - 0
CAI
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 0
FAE
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |