Murata vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FIO
4 - 1
MUR
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FAE
0 - 0
TPE
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
SGI
0 - 2
FAE
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAI
3 - 1
FAE
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FAE
2 - 3
VIR
27%
24%
50%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 3
DOM
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |