Murata vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 5
CAI
60%
21%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
JUV
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 2
MUR
53%
26%
22%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
FIO
18%
23%
60%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TFI
2 - 1
FAE
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
FAE
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TPE
2 - 0
FAE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 1
PEN
38%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |