Murata vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
4 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
4 - 1
SGI
60%
21%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FAE
1 - 0
JUV
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 2
FAE
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 3
FAE
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
FAE
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |