Murata vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 0
MUR
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
LIB
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
TPE
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
FAE
1 - 0
DOM
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
CAI
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 1
LIB
28%
27%
46%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
DOM
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 2
DOM
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |