Murata vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 4
TFI
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
FIO
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
3 - 2
JUV
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 2
VIR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
DOM
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FIO
3 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TPE
2 - 1
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |