Murata vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
FOL
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 1
MUR
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 2
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
TFI
3 - 1
DOM
82%
14%
5%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 1
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 2
DOM
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
DOM
71%
19%
11%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 2
TFI
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |