Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
14º
8º
67
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 2
MUR
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
54%
22%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 2
MUR
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
10%
21%
69%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
TFI
14%
23%
64%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 4
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 0
COS
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
COS
1 - 0
TPE
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
COS
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |