Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FAE
6 - 1
MUR
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TPE
3 - 0
MUR
82%
14%
5%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
DOM
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
COS
1 - 3
TFI
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 3
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TPE
4 - 1
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
COS
4 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +2 |