Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 1
TFI
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 4
FIO
34%
24%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 3
TFI
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COS
0 - 2
CAI
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
COS
5 - 1
SGI
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COS
1 - 5
DOM
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |