Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
MUR
39%
25%
37%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
FAE
2 - 4
MUR
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
FAE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAI
2 - 0
MUR
21%
25%
55%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
COS
4 - 1
FOL
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
54%
25%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 2
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |