Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 1
FIO
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
6 - 1
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CAI
1 - 3
MUR
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAI
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SGI
0 - 1
MUR
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
COS
3 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CAI
0 - 2
COS
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
COS
2 - 1
TFI
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
COS
1 - 0
DOM
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
TPE
0 - 0
COS
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |