Murata vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
68%
20%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 1
MUR
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 0
DOM
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
DOM
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 4
MUR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAI
0 - 3
COS
12%
21%
67%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
CAI
14%
17%
70%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAI
1 - 4
TPE
9%
17%
74%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
79%
15%
7%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
0 - 1
CAI
70%
17%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |