Murata vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
MUR
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
5 - 2
COS
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 2
MUR
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 3
TFI
28%
27%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
SGI
2 - 3
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
COS
21%
23%
57%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAI
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 4
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
CAI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 3
FOL
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |