Murata vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
COS
1 - 3
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
LIB
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FIO
0 - 0
MUR
22%
22%
56%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FAE
1 - 2
MUR
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 2
CAI
78%
15%
6%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SGI
1 - 1
CAI
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 2
COS
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 1
JUV
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |