NS Mura vs Radomlje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
6º
6º
5
7º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 60 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 59 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 30 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
7% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
12.5% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
28.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
2 - 3
BRA
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
NSM
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
CEL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 2
NSM
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
NKN
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Radomlje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 2
RAD
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
DOM
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
NKN
2 - 1
RAD
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 1
FCK
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |