NS Mura vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
6º
6º
9
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 60 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 59 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 30 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
7% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
28.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 0
NSM
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 9
NSM
7%
14%
79%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
RAD
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
2 - 3
BRA
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
NSM
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
NKP
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
NKP
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 3
NKP
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NKP
2 - 1
DOM
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NKN
0 - 3
NKP
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |