NS Mura vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
9º
7º
67
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
SEN
0 - 2
NSM
13%
19%
69%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
NSM
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NSM
1 - 0
ALU
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 1
NSM
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NSM
2 - 2
FCK
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
NKP
1 - 3
MAR
15%
19%
66%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
CEL
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 2
MAR
32%
25%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
9 - 0
NKJ
86%
10%
4%
|
74 | 15 | 59 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
ROG
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |