Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-3
NS Mura vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
0 - 3
TAS
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
NSM
5 - 0
SHK
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
SHK
0 - 1
NSM
30%
25%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
FCR
4 - 0
NSM
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
NSM
1 - 1
VOJ
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
4 - 0
CSK
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 1
LUD
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
1 - 0
SHA
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
LAS
0 - 3
LUD
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
FTC
3 - 1
LUD
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |