NS Mura vs Domžale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
6º
5º
2
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
18 | 66 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 62 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 59 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 56 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
2 | 38 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 36 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
9% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
13% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
25.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 0
NSM
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 4
NSM
4%
9%
88%
|
73 | 14 | 59 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NSM
4 - 0
NKP
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 0
NSM
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 9
NSM
7%
14%
79%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
OLI
33%
23%
44%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
CEL
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
DOM
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 2
DOM
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
NKN
5 - 2
DOM
23%
23%
53%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |