NS Mura vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
62.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LES
1 - 0
NSM
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NSM
4 - 0
RAK
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ODR
3 - 0
NSM
30%
25%
46%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
NSM
1 - 0
GOR
18%
20%
63%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
LJU
1 - 0
NSM
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 3
DOM
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
OLI
6 - 0
CEL
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 1
ZAV
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 3
GOR
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |