NS Mura vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
9º
7º
31
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
NSM
2 - 2
ROG
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
NSM
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 1
FCK
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 0
NSM
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 3
CEL
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
5 - 0
ALU
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 1
RAD
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
ALU
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 2
MAR
24%
26%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
ALU
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |