Mura 05 vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 2
MUR
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 0
NKN
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GOR
1 - 2
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 0
FCK
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
4 - 0
CEL
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 1
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
DOM
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RUD
3 - 0
TRI
75%
16%
8%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
NKN
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 2
GOR
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |