Mura 05 vs ND Dravinja Kostroj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ALU
4 - 1
MUR
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 6
SEN
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 3
BEL
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
NKS
1 - 2
MUR
30%
24%
45%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 1
SEN
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 5
KRS
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 2
ALU
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 3
SEN
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
NKP
3 - 1
TOL
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
5 - 0
ALU
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |