Mura 05 vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FCK
3 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 3
MUR
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
OLI
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 4
DOM
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 1
TRI
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 0
GOR
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GOR
3 - 1
NKN
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 2
GOR
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |