Mura 05 vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 1
MUR
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
GOR
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FCK
3 - 1
MUR
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
RUD
3 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 0
ALU
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 3
GOR
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ALU
1 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RUD
0 - 1
CEL
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 0
DOM
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |