Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Mura 05 vs Arsenal Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 2
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 3
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 3
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GOR
3 - 1
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 1
DNI
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 3
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ZOR
1 - 3
ARS
34%
28%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 1
DYN
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SHA
6 - 0
ARS
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |