Munsingen vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 2
BLA
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LUZ
4 - 1
MUN
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
4 - 1
BER
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
4 - 1
MUN
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
STA
0 - 1
MUN
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
YFJ
2 - 0
LOC
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FCK
4 - 1
LOC
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
RAP
4 - 1
LOC
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
LOC
0 - 1
STG
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ASI
0 - 2
LOC
10%
16%
74%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |