Municipal vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
MUN
5 - 0
TOR
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
MUN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MUN
0 - 3
COM
51%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
COM
3 - 0
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CON
25%
27%
48%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
ZAC
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 0
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
ZAC
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 1
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |