Apertura Guatemala Fase Final Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Municipal vs Xelajú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
MUN
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 0
ANT
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
COB
0 - 1
MUN
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MUN
0 - 0
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ACH
0 - 1
MUN
27%
29%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
MUN
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
COM
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ACH
0 - 1
CHI
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
NUE
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SOL
1 - 1
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |