Municipal vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 0
TOR
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 0
MUN
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 1
COM
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
MUN
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
ANT
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
DEP
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
UNI
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
VEN
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |