Municipal vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
COB
1 - 0
MUN
25%
30%
45%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MUN
3 - 1
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 1
RSL
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
MUN
19%
29%
52%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
COM
2 - 3
MUN
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
CHI
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
COB
77%
15%
7%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |