Municipal vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
MUN
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 0
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
COA
0 - 1
MUN
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 0
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 0
HAL
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
COA
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
HAL
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
LEO
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |