Municipal vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
MUN
51%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
3 - 1
IZT
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 0
HAL
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
MUN
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 3
VEN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
UNI
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
COA
1 - 2
UNI
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |