Municipal vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 4
MUN
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
MUN
3 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
MUN
2 - 1
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MUN
2 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
MUN
2 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
MUN
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 2
MUN
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
RET
4 - 1
UNI
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |