Municipal vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
MUN
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MUN
3 - 2
UNI
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
COB
1 - 0
MUN
25%
30%
45%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MUN
3 - 1
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
MET
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UES
1 - 0
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 2
SFC
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CDD
2 - 1
SAN
26%
28%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |