Municipal vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
11º
1º
19
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
MUN
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
44%
28%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SLC
1 - 3
COB
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
SLC
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
XIN
2 - 1
SLC
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SLC
1 - 4
CHI
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |